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A RE-EXAMINATION OF REAL INTEREST PARITY IN CEECs USING 'OLD' AND 'NEW' SECOND GENERATION PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS

机译:使用“旧”和“新”第二代面板单元根测试重新测试CEEC中的实际利率平价

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摘要

This study applies 'old' and 'new'second generation panel unit root tests to check the validity of long-run real interest rate parity (RIP) hypothesis for ten Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs), with respect to the Euro area and an average of the CEECs' real interest rates, respectively.When the 'new'panel unit root tests are carried out relative to the Euro area rate as reference, we confirm the results of previous studies which support the RIP hypothesis, and of the 'old' tests used as benchmark. Nevertheless, when the 'new' testsare performed using the average of the CEECs' rate as reference, our results are mitigated, revealing that the hypothesis of CEECs' interest rates convergence cannot be taken for granted. From a robustness analysis perspective, our findings indicate that the RIP hypothesis for CEECsshould be considered with cautions, being sensitive to the reference rate and to the countries retained in the sample.
机译:本研究采用“旧”和“新”第二代面板单位根检验,以检验十个中欧和东欧国家(CEEC)相对于欧元区和欧元区的长期实际利率平价(RIP)假设的有效性。当相对于欧元区利率进行“新”面板单位根检验时,我们确认了先前支持RIP假设的研究结果,以及“旧的测试用作基准。然而,当以中东欧国家的利率平均值作为参考进行“新”检验时,我们的结果有所减轻,这表明中东欧国家利率趋同的假设不能被认为是理所当然的。从健壮性分析的角度来看,我们的发现表明,应谨慎考虑CEEC的RIP假设,因为它对参考率和样本中所保留的国家敏感。

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